"Krisenfahrplan" vom Midas:Stage 1 - loose domestic monetary policy
Stage 2 - easy access to foreign credit
Stage 3 - asset bubbles in stocks and housing
Stage 4 - booming financial services economy
Stage 5 - asset price growth decelerates
Stage 6 - foreigners start to withdraw credit
Stage 7 - government compensates with monetary and fiscal stimulus
Stage 8 - currency weakens
Stage 9 - asset prices start to decline
Stage 10 - unemployment increases
Stage 11 - foreign credit withdrawal accelerates
Stage 12 - monetary and fiscal stimulus accelerates
Stage 13 - foreign credit withdrawal accelerates
Stage 14 - currency decline accelerates
Stage 15 - interest rates increase
Stage 16 - domestic prices for food and basic necessities increase
Stage 17 - asset price declines accelerate
Stage 18 - scarcity of foreign imported goods
Stage 19 - scarcity of basic necessities
Stage 20 - civil unrest
Stage 21 - government legislated price controls
Stage 22 - chronic food and basic necessity shortages
Stage 23 - hyperinflation
Stage 24 - economic collapse
Stage 25 - riots and social structure collapse
Stage 26 - political instability and demand for change
Stage 27 - rise of an extremist leader
Stage 28 - legislative/constitutional change giving government more power
Stage 29 - blame is externalised
Stage 30 - external conflict
Island ist etwa bei 20 und besorgniserregend ist Punkt 27...
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