The fifth possibility is what I call “the Nagorno-Karabakh model,” which is essentially a more-or-less stable frozen conflict brought about by force of arms – that is, where the combatants decide that the existing line of control is acceptable and agree to a ceasefire that lasts. In the eastern Ukraine case, this would presumably entail an ongoing OSCE monitoring mission to help prevent new rounds of fighting.
The sixth possibility is an unstable frozen conflict but without major fighting or territorial losses by either side – so essentially more of what we have had in eastern Ukraine since the fall of Debaltseve. I think that is probably the most likely outcome, and I put its probability at 45%.
Wird mal Zeit, dass Merkel dem Putin mal ihr vollstes Vertrauen ausspricht.Jedimindtricks schrieb:wow .
merkeln hat auf der pressekonferenz nebst vladimir putin von der verbrecherischen und völkerrechtswiedrigen annektion der krim gesprochen - ausserdem das man mit russland eine strategische partnerschaft zusammen mit der nato aufbauen wollt . putin war not amused
. Ms Merkel spoke about President Putin possibly using his influence on the separatists. Why is President Putin not using his influence more boldly to give this diplomatic initiative a chance?dieser diplomatenkäse als antwort
